Gurara, Daniel Zerfu


Daniel Zerfu Gurara is a Principal Research Economist at the Development Research Department. Before joining the Bank, Daniel was working as an assistant professor of economics at Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia, teaching graduate courses in macroeconomic theory and policy. Prior to that, he was a consultant at the Development Economics Research Group of the World Bank based in Washington, DC. His areas of research interest fall under the broad umbrella of development microeconomics and macroeconometric modeling. He had been working on issues in land rights, governance, productivity, poverty trap, trust and ethnicity, agricultural technology adoption, global macroeconometric modeling, and regional integration. Daniel earned his PhD at the Univesity of Gothenburg, Sweden.

Recent Publications

  • Global Economic Spillovers to Africa: A GVAR Approach (2013), AfDB Working Paper Series N° 183, African Development Bank, Tunis, Tunisia (with Mthuli Ncube)
  • A Macroeconometric Model for Rwanda (2013), AfDB Working Paper Series N° 177 African Development Bank, Tunis, Tunisia.
  • A Conceptual Model of Incomplete Markets and the Consequences for Technology Adoption Policies in Ethiopia (2013), World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 6681 (with Donald F. Larson)
  • The Demand for Fertilizer when Markets are Incomplete: Evidence from Ethiopia (2013) in K. Otsuka and D.F. Larson (eds): An African Green Revolution: Finding Ways to Boost Productivity on Small Farms. Dordrecht: Springer. (with Donald F. Larson)
  • Incomplete Markets and Fertilizer Use: Evidence from Ethiopia (2010), World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5235 (with Donald F. Larson)
  • Does Ethnicity Matter for Trust? Evidence from Africa (2009) Journal of African Economies, 2009, 18:1, 153-175 (with Precious Zikhali and Innocent Kabenga).


  • Applied Time Series Econometrics: A Practical Guide for Macroeconomic Researchers with a Focus on Africa (with Alemayehu Geda and Njuguna Ndung'u), 2012, Nairobi University Press.